Size-based analysis of fetal or tumor DNA fraction in plasma

ABSTRACT

A fractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNA in a mixture of DNA from a biological sample is determined based on amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. For example, the fractional concentration of fetal DNA in maternal plasma or tumor DNA in a patient&#39;s plasma can be determined. The size of DNA fragments in a sample is shown to be correlated with a proportion of fetal DNA and a proportion of tumor DNA, respectively. Calibration data points (e.g., as a calibration function) indicate a correspondence between values of a size parameter and the fractional concentration of the clinically-relevant DNA. For a given sample, a first value of a size parameter can be determined from the sizes of DNA fragments in a sample. A comparison of the first value to the calibration data points can provide the estimate of the fractional concentration of the clinically-relevant DNA.

CROSS-REFERENCES TO RELATED APPLICATION

This application is a non-provisional of and claims the benefit of U.S.Provisional Patent Application No. 61/608,623, entitled “SIZE-BASEDANALYSIS OF FETAL DNA FRACTION IN MATERNAL PLASMA,” filed on Mar. 8,2012, and U.S. Provisional Patent Application No. 61/621,451, entitled“SIZE-BASED ANALYSIS OF FETAL DNA FRACTION IN MATERNAL PLASMA,” filed onApr. 6, 2012, which are herein incorporated by reference in its entiretyfor all purposes.

BACKGROUND

The discovery of cell-free fetal DNA in maternal plasma has opened upnew possibilities for noninvasive prenatal diagnosis (Lo Y M D et al.Lancet 1997; 350:485-487). The mean/median fractional fetal DNAconcentration has been reported to be approximately 3% to 10% (Lo Y M Det al. Am J Hum Genet 1998; 62:768-775; Lun F M F et al. Clin Chem 2008;54:1664-1672). The fractional fetal DNA concentration is an importantparameter which affects the performance of noninvasive prenataldiagnostic tests using maternal plasma DNA. For example, for thenoninvasive prenatal diagnosis of fetal chromosomal aneuploidies (e.g.trisomy 21, trisomy 18 or trisomy 13), the higher the fractional fetalDNA concentration is, the higher will be the overrepresentation of DNAsequences derived from the aneuploid chromosome in maternal plasma.Indeed, it has been demonstrated that for every two times reduction inthe fractional fetal DNA concentration in maternal plasma, the number ofmolecules that one would need to count to achieve aneuploidy detectionwould be four times (Lo Y M D et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2007;104:13116-13121).

For the noninvasive prenatal detection of fetal trisomy by randommassively parallel sequencing, the fractional fetal DNA concentration ofa sample would affect the amount of sequencing that one would need toperform to achieve a robust detection (Fan H C and Quake S R. PLoS One2010; 5:e10439). Indeed, a number of groups have included a qualitycontrol step in which the fractional fetal DNA concentration is firstmeasured and only samples that contain more than a minimum fractionalfetal DNA concentration would be eligible to generate a diagnosticresult (Palomaki G E et al. Genet Med 2011; 13:913-920). Other groupshave included the fractional fetal DNA concentration in their diagnosticalgorithm for estimating the risk that a particular maternal plasmasample is obtained from an aneuploid pregnancy (Sparks A B et al. Am JObstet Gynecol 2012; 206: 319.e1-9).

In addition to aneuploidy detection, the fractional fetal DNAconcentration also similarly affects noninvasive prenatal diagnostictests conducted using maternal plasma DNA for detecting monogenicdiseases, e.g. the hemoglobinopathies (Lun F M F et al. Proc Natl AcadSci USA 2008; 105:19920-19925) and hemophilia (Tsui N B Y et al. Blood2011; 117:3684-3691). The fractional fetal DNA concentration alsoaffects the depth of sequencing that one would need to perform forconstructing a fetal genomewide genetic and mutational map, as well asfetal whole genome sequencing (Lo Y M D et al. Sci Transl Med 2010;2:61ra91 and U.S. Patent Application 2011/0105353).

A number of methods have been described for measuring the fractionalfetal DNA concentration. One approach is to measure the concentration ofa fetal-specific, paternally-inherited sequence that is absent from thematernal genome. Examples of such sequences include the sequences on theY chromosome that are present in male fetuses and sequences from the RHDgene in a Rhesus D positive fetus carried by a Rhesus D negativepregnant woman. One could also measure the total maternal plasma DNAusing sequences that are present in both the mother and the fetus. Toarrive at a fractional fetal DNA concentration, one could then calculatethe ratio of the concentration of the fetal-specific,paternally-inherited sequence over the concentration of the totalmaternal plasma DNA.

Another example of sequences that one could use includes the use ofsingle nucleotide polymorphisms (Lo Y M D et al. Sci Transl Med 2010;2:61ra91). A disadvantage of using genetic markers for the measurementof the fractional fetal DNA concentration is that no single set ofgenetic markers would be informative for all fetus-mother pair. Yetanother method that one could employ is the use of DNA sequences thatexhibit fetal or placental-specific DNA methylation patterns in maternalplasma (Nygren A O et al. Clin Chem 2010; 56:1627-1635). The potentialdisadvantage of the use of DNA methylation markers is that there may beinter-individual variation in the level of DNA methylation. Furthermore,methods that are used for the detection of DNA methylation markers aretypically complex, including the use of methylation-sensitiverestriction enzyme digestion (Chan K C A et al. Clin Chem 2008;52:2211-2218) or bisulfite conversion (Chim S S C et al. Proc Natl AcadSci USA 2005; 102:14753-14758) or methylated DNA immunoprecipitation(MeDIP) (Papageorgiou E A et al. Nat Med 2011; 17: 510-513).

Since the fractional fetal DNA concentration is an important value, itis desirable to have additional methods and systems for determining thevalue.

BRIEF SUMMARY

Embodiments can provide methods and systems for estimating a fractionalconcentration of clinically-relevant DNA in a mixture of DNA from abiological sample based amounts of DNA fragments at various sizes. Forexample, the fractional concentration of fetal DNA in maternal plasma ortumor DNA in a patient's plasma can be determined. The size of DNAfragments is shown to be correlated with a proportion of fetal DNA and aproportion of tumor DNA. Calibration data points (e.g., as a calibrationfunction) indicate a correspondence between values of a size parameterand the fractional concentration of the clinically-relevant DNA. For agiven sample, a first value of a size parameter can be determined fromthe sizes of DNA fragments in a sample. A comparison of the first valueto the calibration data points provides the estimate of the fractionalconcentration of the clinically-relevant DNA.

According to one embodiment, a method estimates a fractionalconcentration of clinically-relevant DNA in a biological sample, thebiological sample including the clinically-relevant DNA and other DNA.For each size of a plurality of sizes, an amount of a plurality of DNAfragments from the biological sample corresponding to the size ismeasured. A computer system calculates a first value of a firstparameter based on the amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. Thefirst parameter provides a statistical measure of a size profile of DNAfragments in the biological sample. One or more first calibration datapoints are obtained. Each first calibration data point specifies afractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNA corresponding to acalibration value of the first parameter. The one or more calibrationdata points are determined from a plurality of calibration samples. Thefirst value is compared to a calibration value of at least onecalibration data point. The fractional concentration of theclinically-relevant DNA in the biological sample is estimated based onthe comparison.

According to another embodiment, a method analyzes a biological sampleof an organism. The biological sample includes DNA originating fromnormal cells and potentially from cells associated with cancer. At leastsome of the DNA is cell-free in the biological sample. For each size ofa plurality of sizes, an amount of a plurality of DNA fragments from thebiological sample corresponding to the size is measured. A computersystem calculates a first value of a first parameter based on theamounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. The first parameter providesa statistical measure of a size profile of DNA fragments in thebiological sample. The first value is compared to a reference value. Aclassification of a level of cancer in the organism is determined basedon the comparison.

Other embodiments are directed to systems, portable consumer devices,and computer readable media associated with methods described herein.

A better understanding of the nature and advantages of the presentinvention may be gained with reference to the following detaileddescription and the accompanying drawings.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 shows a plot 100 of a size distribution of circulating cell-freeDNA in maternal plasma according to embodiments of the presentinvention.

FIG. 2A shows a plot 200 of size distributions of fetal DNA in twomaternal plasma samples (1^(st) trimester pregnancies) with differentfractional fetal DNA concentrations according to embodiments of thepresent invention.

FIG. 2B shows a plot 250 of size distributions of DNA fragments in twomaternal plasma samples (2^(nd) trimester pregnancies) with differentfractional fetal DNA concentrations according to embodiments of thepresent invention.

FIG. 3 is a flowchart of a method 300 illustrating a method ofestimating a fractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNA in abiological sample according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 4 is a plot 400 showing a size distribution (electropherogram) ofmaternal plasma DNA obtained using electrophoresis according toembodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 5A is a plot 500 showing a proportion of DNA fragments that are 150bp or below for samples having various fetal DNA percentage in maternalplasma according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 5B is a plot 550 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 6A is a plot 600 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 6B is a plot 650 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 7 is a plot 700 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 8 is a plot 800 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bp orbelow for samples having various fetal DNA percentages in maternalplasma according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 9A is a plot 900 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 9B is a plot 950 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 10A is a plot 1000 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 10B is a plot 1005 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)).

FIG. 11 is a plot showing a size ratio plotted vs. fetal DNA percentagefor the size of repeat elements according to embodiments of the presentinvention.

FIG. 12A is an electropherogram 1200 that may be used to determine asize ratio according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 12B a plot 1250 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 200 bp to 267 bp and DNA from 290 bp to 294 bp forsamples having various fetal DNA percentage in maternal plasma accordingto embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 13 is a flowchart of a method 1300 for determining calibration datapoints from measurements made from calibration samples according toembodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 14A is a plot 1400 of a size ratio against the fractionalconcentration of fetal DNA for the training set according to embodimentsof the present invention.

FIG. 14B is a plot 1450 of fractional concentrations deduced (estimated)from linear function 1410 of FIG. 14A against the fractionalconcentrations measured using fetal-specific sequences according toembodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 15A is a plot 1500 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bpor below for samples having various tumor DNA percentages in plasma oftwo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients before and after tumorresection according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 15B is a plot 1550 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients before and aftertumor resection.

FIG. 16A is a plot 1600 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled (size(140-146)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients before andafter tumor resection.

FIG. 16B is a plot 1650 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients beforeand after tumor resection.

FIG. 17 is a plot 1700 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients beforeand after tumor resection.

FIG. 18A is a plot 1800 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bpor below for HCC patients before and after tumor resection.

FIG. 18B is a plot 1850 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before and after tumorresection.

FIG. 19A is a plot 1900 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection.

FIG. 19B is a plot 1950 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection.

FIG. 20 is a plot 2000 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection.

FIG. 21 is a flowchart illustrating a method 2100 for analyzing abiological sample of an organism to determine a classification of alevel of cancer according to embodiments of the present invention.

FIG. 22 is a table 2200 showing some common chromosomal aberrations seenin various types of cancers.

FIG. 23 shows a block diagram of an example computer system 2300 usablewith system and methods according to embodiments of the presentinvention.

DEFINITIONS

The term “biological sample” as used herein refers to any sample that istaken from a subject (e.g., a human, such as a pregnant woman) andcontains one or more nucleic acid molecule(s) of interest. Examplesinclude plasma, saliva, pleural fluid, sweat, ascitic fluid, bile,urine, serum, pancreatic juice, stool and cervical smear samples. Thebiological sample may be obtained from a human, an animal, or othersuitable organism. A “calibration sample” corresponds to a biologicalsample whose clinically-relevant DNA fraction is known or determined viaa calibration method, e.g., using an allele specific to the clinicallyrelevant DNA. Examples of clinically-relevant DNA are fetal DNA inmaternal plasma or tumor DNA in a patient's plasma.

As used herein, the term “locus” or its plural form “loci” is a locationor address of any length of nucleotides (or base pairs) which has avariation across genomes. The term “sequence read” refers to a sequenceobtained from all or part of a nucleic acid molecule, e.g., a DNAfragment. In one embodiment, just one end of the fragment is sequenced.Alternatively, both ends (e.g., about 30 bp from each end) of thefragment can be sequenced to generate two sequence reads. The pairedsequence reads can then be aligned to a reference genome, which canprovide a length of the fragment. In yet another embodiment, a linearDNA fragment can be circularized, e.g., by ligation, and the partspanning the ligation site can be sequenced.

The term “universal sequencing” refers to sequencing where adapters areadded to the end of a fragment, and the primers for sequencing attachedto the adapters. Thus, any fragment can be sequenced with the sameprimer, and thus the sequencing can be random.

The term fractional fetal DNA concentration is used interchangeably withthe terms fetal DNA proportion and fetal DNA fraction, and refers to theproportion of fetal DNA molecules that are present in a biologicalsample (e.g., maternal plasma or serum sample) that is derived from thefetus (Lo Y M D et al. Am J Hum Genet 1998; 62:768-775; Lun F M F et al.Clin Chem 2008; 54:1664-1672). Similarly, the terms fractional tumor DNAconcentration may be used interchangeably with the terms tumor DNAproportion and tumor DNA fraction, and refers to the proportion of tumorDNA molecules that are present in a biological sample.

The term “size profile” generally relates to the sizes of DNA fragmentsin a biological sample. A size profile may be a histogram that providesa distribution of an amount of DNA fragments at a variety of sizes.Various statistical parameters (also referred to as size parameters orjust parameter) can be used to distinguish one size profile to another.One parameter is the percentage of DNA fragment of a particular size orrange of sizes relative to all DNA fragments or relative to DNAfragments of another size or range.

Examples of “clinically-relevant” DNA include fetal DNA in maternalplasma and tumor DNA in the patient's plasma. Another example includethe measurement of the amount of graft-associated DNA in the plasma of atransplant patient. A further example include the measurement of therelative amounts of hematopoietic and nonhematopoietic DNA in the plasmaof a subject. This latter embodiment can be used for detecting ormonitoring or prognosticating pathological processes or injuriesinvolving hematopoietic and/or nonhematopoietic tissues.

A “calibration data point” includes a “calibration value” and a measuredor known fractional concentration of the DNA of interest (i.e., theclinically-relevant DNA). The calibration value is a value of a sizeparameter as determined for a calibration sample, for which thefractional concentration of the clinically-relevant DNA is known. Thecalibration data points may be defined in a variety of ways, e.g., asdiscrete points or as a calibration function (also called a calibrationcurve or calibrations surface).

The term “level of cancer” can refer to whether cancer exists, a stageof a cancer, a size of tumor, how many deletions or amplifications of achromosomal region are involved (e.g. duplicated or tripled), and/orother measure of a severity of a cancer. The level of cancer could be anumber or other characters. The level could be zero. The level of canceralso includes premalignant or precancerous conditions associated withdeletions or amplifications.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

It is known that cell-free fetal DNA molecules in maternal plasma aregenerally shorter than the maternally-derived ones (Chan K C A et al.Clin Chem 2004; 50:88-92; Lo Y M D et al. Sci Transl Med 2010;2:61ra91). The presence of fetal DNA results in a shift in the overallsize distribution of maternal plasma DNA and the degree of shifting isassociated with the fractional concentration of fetal DNA. By measuringparticular values of the size profile of maternal plasma DNA,embodiments can obtain the fractional fetal DNA concentration inmaternal plasma.

Apart from applications in noninvasive prenatal diagnosis, embodimentscan also be used for measuring the fractional concentration ofclinically useful nucleic acid species of different sizes in biologicalfluids, which can be useful for cancer detection, transplantation, andmedical monitoring. It has previously been shown that tumor-derived DNAis shorter than the non-cancer-derived DNA in a cancer patient's plasma(Diehl F et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2005; 102:16368-16373). In thetransplantation context, it has been shown hematopoietic-derived DNA isshorter than non-hematopoietic DNA (Zheng Y W et al. Clin Chem 2012;58:549-558). For example, if a patient receives a liver from a donor,then the DNA derived from the liver (a nonhematopoietic organ in theadult) will be shorter than hematopoietic-derived DNA in the plasma(Zheng Y W et al. Clin Chem 2012; 58:549-558). Similarly, in a patientwith myocardial infarction or stroke, the DNA released by the damagednonhematopoietic organs (i.e. the heart and brain, respectively) wouldbe expected to result in a shift in the size profile of plasma DNAtowards the shorter spectrum.

I. Size Distribution

To demonstrate embodiments, we show in the following examples that onecan measure the size profile, for example, by paired-end massivelyparallel sequencing or by electrophoresis (e.g. using a Bioanalyzer).The latter example is particularly useful because electrophoresis usinga Bioanalyzer is a quick and relatively cheap procedure. This wouldallow one to rapidly perform this analysis as a quality control measurebefore one would subject a plasma DNA sample to the relatively expensivesequencing process.

FIG. 1 shows a plot 100 of a size distribution of circulating cell-freeDNA in maternal plasma according to embodiments of the presentinvention. A size distribution can be obtained by measuring a size ofDNA fragments and then counting the number of DNA fragments at varioussizes, e.g., within the range of 50 bases to about 220 bases. Plot 100shows two distributions. Distribution 110 is for all of the DNAfragments in the maternal plasma sample, and distribution 120 is onlyfor DNA that is from the fetus. The horizontal axis is the size in basepairs (bp) of the DNA fragments. The vertical axis is the percentage ofmeasured DNA fragments

In FIG. 1, the size distribution of fetal-derived DNA in maternal plasmahas been shown to be shorter than that of the maternally derived ones(Chan K C et al. ClinChem 2004; 50:88-92.) Recently, we have usedpaired-end massively parallel sequencing analysis to determine thehigh-resolution size distribution of the fetal-specific DNA and totalDNA (mainly derived from the mother) in a pregnant woman. We showed thata main difference between the two species of DNA is that there is areduction in the fraction of 166 bp DNA fragments and an increaseproportion of shorter DNA of below 150 bp for the fetal-derived DNA (LoY M et al. Sci Transl Med 2010 2:61ra91).

Herein, we outline how an analysis of a size distribution of total DNAfragments in a maternal plasma sample (an example of a biologicalsample) would be useful for determining the fractional concentration offetal DNA in maternal plasma. The increased fractional concentration offetal DNA in maternal plasma would result in the shortening of theoverall size distribution of the total DNA. In one embodiment, therelative abundance (an example of a parameter) of DNA fragments ofapproximately 144 bp and DNA fragments of approximately 166 bp could beused to reflect the fractional concentration of fetal DNA. In anotherembodiment, other parameters or combination of parameters regarding asize profile can be used to reflect the size distribution of plasma DNA.

FIG. 2A shows a plot 200 of size distributions of fetal DNA in twomaternal plasma samples (1^(st) trimester pregnancies) with differentfractional fetal DNA concentrations according to embodiments of thepresent invention. Both of these two pregnant women were carrying malefetuses. The fractional fetal DNA concentrations were determined fromthe proportion of sequences from the Y chromosome among the totalsequenced DNA fragments. Both samples were taken from pregnant womenduring the first trimester of their pregnancies. Case 338 (solid line,fractional fetal DNA concentration 10%) had a lower fractional fetal DNAconcentration than Case 263 (dotted line, fractional fetal DNAconcentration 20%). When compared with Case 263, Case 338 had a higherpeak at 166 bp but the peaks for size below 150 bp were lower. In otherwords, DNA fragments shorter than 150 bp were more abundant in Case 263whereas the fragments of approximately 166 bp were more abundant in Case338. These observations are consistent with the hypothesis that therelative amounts of short and long DNA may be correlated to thefractional fetal DNA concentration.

FIG. 2B shows a plot 250 of size distributions of DNA fragments in twomaternal plasma samples (2^(nd) trimester pregnancies) with differentfractional fetal DNA concentrations according to embodiments of thepresent invention. Both samples were taken from pregnant women duringthe second trimester. Both of these two pregnant women were carryingmale fetuses. The fractional fetal DNA concentrations were determinedfrom the proportion of sequences from the Y chromosome among the totalsequenced DNA fragments. Similar to the previous example, case 5415(dotted line, with higher fractional fetal DNA concentration 19%) hadhigher peaks for sizes below 150 bp whereas case 5166 (solid line, withlower fractional fetal DNA concentration 12%) had a higher peak at 166bp.

The correlation of different values of a size parameter to values offractional fetal DNA concentration is shown in data plots below.Additionally, the size of fragments of tumor DNA is correlated to thepercentage of tumor DNA fragments in a sample with tumor DNA fragmentsand DNA fragments from normal cells. Thus, the size of tumor fragmentscan also be used to determine the percentage of tumor fragments in thesample.

II. Method

Since the size of DNA fragments is correlated to a fractionalconcentration (also referred to as a percentage), embodiments can usethis correlation to determine a fractional concentration of a particulartype of DNA (e.g., fetal DNA or DNA from a tumor) in a sample. Theparticular type of DNA is clinically-relevant as that is the fractionalconcentration being estimated. Accordingly, a method can estimate afractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNA in a biologicalsample based on a measured size of the DNA fragments.

FIG. 3 is a flowchart of a method 300 illustrating a method ofestimating a fractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNA in abiological sample according to embodiments of the present invention. Thebiological sample includes the clinically-relevant DNA and other DNA.The biological sample may be obtained from a patient, e.g., a femalesubject pregnant with a fetus. In another embodiment, the patient mayhave or be suspected of having a tumor. In one implementation, thebiological sample may be received at a machine, e.g., a sequencingmachine, which outputs measurement data (e.g., sequence reads) that canbe used to determine sizes of the DNA fragments. Method 300 may beperformed wholly or partially with a computer system, as can othermethods described herein.

At block 310, amounts of DNA fragments corresponding to various sizesare measured. For each size of a plurality of sizes, an amount of aplurality of DNA fragments from the biological sample corresponding tothe size can be measured. For instance, the number of DNA fragmentshaving a length of 140 bases may be measured. The amounts may be savedas a histogram. In one embodiment, a size of each of the plurality ofnucleic acids from the biological sample is measured, which may be doneon an individual basis (e.g., by single molecule sequencing) or on agroup basis (e.g., via electrophoresis). The sizes may correspond to arange. Thus, an amount can be for DNA fragments that have a size withina particular range.

The plurality of DNA fragments may be chosen at random or preferentiallyselected from one or more predetermined regions of a genome. Forexample, targeted enrichment may be performed, as described above. Inanother embodiment, DNA fragments may be randomly sequenced (e.g., usinguniversal sequencing), and the resulting sequence reads can be alignedto a genome corresponding to the subject (e.g., a reference humangenome). Then, only DNA fragments whose sequence reads align to the oneor more predetermined regions may be used to determine the size.

In various embodiments, the size can be mass, length, or other suitablesize measures. The measurement can be performed in various ways, asdescribed herein. For example, paired-end sequencing and alignment ofDNA fragments may be performed, or electrophoresis may be used. Astatistically significant number of DNA fragments can be measured toprovide an accurate size profile of the biological sample. Examples of astatistically significant number of DNA fragments include greater than100,000; 1,000,000; 2,000,000, or other suitable values, which maydepend on the precision required.

In one embodiment, the data obtained from a physical measurement, suchas paired-end sequencing or electrophoresis, can be received at acomputer and analyzed to accomplish the measurement of the sizes of theDNA fragments. For instance, the sequence reads from the paired-endsequencing can be analyzed (e.g., by alignment) to determine the sizes.As another example, the electropherogram resulting from electrophoresiscan be analyzed to determines the sizes. In one implementation, theanalyzing of the DNA fragments does include the actual process ofsequencing or subjecting DNA fragments to electrophoresis, while otherimplementations can just perform an analysis of the resulting data.

At block 320, a first value of a first parameter is calculated based onthe amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. In one aspect, the firstparameter provides a statistical measure of a size profile (e.g., ahistogram) of DNA fragments in the biological sample. The parameter maybe referred to as a size parameter since it is determined from the sizesof the plurality of DNA fragments.

The first parameter can be of various forms. Such a parameter is anumber of DNA fragments at a particular size divided by the total numberof fragments, which may be obtained from a histogram (any data structureproviding absolute or relative counts of fragments at particular sizes).As another example, a parameter could be a number of fragments at aparticular size or within a particular range divided by a number offragments of another size or range. The division can act as anormalization to account for a different number of DNA fragments beinganalyzed for different samples. A normalization can be accomplished byanalyzing a same number of DNA fragments for each sample, whicheffectively provides a same result as dividing by a total numberfragments analyzed. Other examples of parameters are described herein.

At block 330, one or more first calibration data points are obtained.Each first calibration data point can specify a fractional concentrationof clinically-relevant DNA corresponding to a particular value (acalibration value) of the first parameter. The fractional concentrationcan be specified as a particular concentration or a range ofconcentrations. A calibration value may correspond to a value of thefirst parameter (i.e., a particular size parameter) as determined from aplurality of calibration samples. The calibration data points can bedetermined from calibration samples with known fractionalconcentrations, which may be measured via various techniques describedherein. At least some of the calibration samples would have a differentfractional concentration, but some calibration samples may have a samefractional concentration

In various embodiments, one or more calibration points may be defined asone discrete point, a set of discrete points, as a function, as onediscrete point and a function, or any other combination of discrete orcontinuous sets of values. As an example, a calibration data point couldbe determined from one calibration value of a size parameter (e.g.,number of fragments in a particular size or size range) for a samplewith a particular fractional concentration. A plurality of histogramscan be used, with a different histogram for each calibration sample,where some of the calibration samples may have the same fractionalconcentration.

In one embodiment, measured values of a same size parameter frommultiple samples at the same fractional concentration could be combinedto determine a calibration data point for a particular fractionalconcentration. For example, an average of the values of the sizeparameter may be obtained from the size data of samples at the samefractional concentration to determine a particular calibration datapoint (or provide a range that corresponds to the calibration datapoint). In another embodiment, multiple data points with the samecalibration value can be used to determine an average fractionalconcentration.

In one implementation, the sizes of DNA fragments are measured for manycalibration samples. A calibration value of the same size parameter isdetermined for each calibration sample, where the size parameter may beplotted against the known fractional concentration of the sample. Afunction may then be fit to the data points of the plot, where thefunctional fit defines the calibration data points to be used indetermining the fractional concentration for a new sample.

At block 340, the first value is compared to a calibration value of atleast one calibration data point. The comparison can be performed in avariety of ways. For example, the comparison can be whether the firstvalue is higher or lower than the calibration value. The comparison caninvolve comparing to a calibration curve (composed of the calibrationdata points), and thus the comparison can identify the point on thecurve having the first value of the first parameter. For example, acalculated value X of the first parameter (as determined from themeasured sizes of DNA in the new sample) can be used as input into afunction F(X), where F is the calibration function (curve). The outputof F(X) is the fractional concentration. An error range can be provided,which may be different for each X value, thereby providing a range ofvalues as an output of F(X).

In step 350, the fractional concentration of the clinically-relevant DNAin the biological sample is estimated based on the comparison. In oneembodiment, one can determine if the first value of the first parameteris above or below a threshold calibration value, and thereby determineif the estimated fractional concentration of the instant sample is aboveor below the fractional concentration corresponding to the thresholdcalibration value. For example, if the calculated first value X₁ for thebiological is above a calibration value X_(C) then the fractionalconcentration FC₁ of the biological sample can be determined as beingabove the fractional concentration FC_(C) corresponding to X_(C). Thiscomparison can be used to determine if a sufficient fractionalconcentration exists in the biological sample to perform other tests,e.g., testing for a fetal aneuploidy. This relationship of above andbelow can depend on how the parameter is defined. In such an embodiment,only one calibration data point may be needed.

In another embodiment, the comparison is accomplished by inputting thefirst value into a calibration function. The calibration function caneffectively compare the first value to calibration values by identifyingthe point on a curve corresponding to the first value. The estimatedfractional concentration is then provided as the output value of thecalibration function.

In one embodiment, the value of more than one parameter can bedetermined for the biological sample. For example, a second value can bedetermined for a second parameter, which corresponds to a differentstatistical measure of the size profile of DNA fragments in thebiological sample. The second value can be determined using the samesize measurements of the DNA fragments, or different size measurements.Each parameter can correspond to a different calibration curve. In oneimplementation, the different values can be compared independently todifferent calibration curves to obtain a plurality of estimatedfractional concentrations, which may then be averaged or used to providea range as an output.

In another implementation, a multidimensional calibration curve can beused, where the different values of the parameters can effectively beinput to a single calibration function that outputs the fractionalconcentration. The single calibration function can result from afunctional fit of all of the data points obtained from the calibrationsamples. Thus, in one embodiment, the first calibration data points andthe second calibration data points can be points on a multidimensionalcurve, where the comparison includes identifying the multidimensionalpoint having coordinates corresponding to the first value and the one ormore second values.

III. Determining Size

The size distribution of plasma DNA can be determined, for example, butnot limited to, using real-time PCR, electrophoresis and massspectrometry analysis. In various embodiments, the measured size is alength, a molecular mass, or a measured parameter that is proportionalto the length or mass, such as the mobility in a electrophoretogram andthe time required to travel a fixed distance in electrophoresis or massspectrometer. In another example, one can stain the DNA with anintercalating fluorescence dye, e.g. ethidium bromide or SYBR Green,where the amount of dye bound will be proportional to the length of theDNA molecule. One can determine the amount of dye bound by the intensityof the emitted fluorescence when UV light is shone on the sample. Someexamples for measuring size and resulting data are described below.

A. First Fetal Sample Set Using Sequencing

Table 1 shows sample information and sequencing analyses for an exampleinvolving a fetal DNA fraction. Plasma samples were collected from 80pregnant women, each carrying a single male fetus. Among these 80pregnant women, 39 were carrying a euploid fetus, 18 were carrying atrisomy 21 (T21) fetus, 10 were carrying a trisomy 18 (T18) fetus, and13 were carrying a trisomy 13 (T13) fetus. A size distribution of plasmaDNA was determined using paired-end massively parallel sequencing.Sequencing libraries of maternal plasma DNA were constructed aspreviously described (Lo Y M et al. Sci Transl Med 2010; 2:61ra91),except that a 6-base barcode was introduced to the DNA molecules of eachplasma sample through a triple-primer PCR amplification.

Two samples were introduced into one sequencing lane (i.e. 2-plexsequencing). In other embodiments, more than two samples can beintroduced into one sequencing lane, e.g. 6, or 12, or 20, or more than20. All libraries were sequenced by a Genome Analyzer IIx (Illumina)using the 36-bp x 2 PE format. An additional 7 cycles of sequencing wereperformed to decode the index sequence on each sequenced plasma DNAmolecule. The 36-bp sequence reads were aligned to the non-repeat-maskedhuman reference genome (Hg18) (genome.ucsc.edu), using the ShortOligonucleotide Alignment Program 2 (SOAP2) (soap.genomics.org.cn).Paired end (PE) reads with individual members sequenced on the samecluster position on the flow cell and uniquely aligned to a singlelocation in the human genome with the correct orientation and withoutany nucleotide mismatch were identified. In other embodiments, alignmentmay not be unique and mismatches may be allowed.

Only the PE reads that demonstrated an insert size ≦600 bp wereretrieved for analysis. With these criteria, the size of the analyzedplasma DNA fragments in these experiments ranged from 36 bp to 600 bp.The size of each sequenced DNA fragment was inferred from thecoordinates of the outermost nucleotides at each end of the sequencedfragments.

Gestational No. of PE Fetal DNA No. of age (weeks) reads (millions)fraction (%) Case type cases median (range) median (range) median(range) Euploid 39 13.2 (11.3-15.1) 4.7 (1.8-12.0) 15.7 (5.9-25.7) T2118 13.0 (12.1-17.9) 5.2 (2.5-8.9)  13.8 (7.4-27.2) T18 10 13.3(12.1-14.2) 4.9 (3.6-6.2)   7.2 (4.8-16.7) T13 13 12.4 (11.5-16.4) 5.3(2.7-7.7)   7.5 (3.2-14.1) All 80 13.1 (11.3-17.9) 4.9 (1.8-12.0) 13.7(3.2-27.2)Table 1 shows data for samples of various aneuploidy status. The dataincludes the number of cases, gestational age median and range, alongwith number of paired-end reads median and range and the fetal DNAfraction.

The fractional concentrations of fetal DNA in the maternal plasmasamples were deduced from the amount of sequences aligning to chromosomeY as previously described (Chiu R W et al. BMJ 2011; 342:c7401). Thistechnique is an example of a calibration method. Thus, the measuredfetal DNA fraction in Table 1 can be used in calibration data points toestimate a fetal DNA fraction in a new sample. The samples used tocollect the data in Table 1 may be considered calibration samples.

B. Second Fetal Sample Set Using Targeted Sequencing

Table 2 shows sample information and targeted enrichment of maternalplasma DNA according to embodiments of the present invention. Plasmasamples were collected from 48 pregnant women, each carrying a singlefetus. Among these 48 pregnant women, 21 were carrying a euploid fetus,17 were carrying a trisomy 21 (T21) fetus, 9 were carrying a trisomy 18(T18) fetus, and 1 was carrying a trisomy 13 (T13) fetus. These data,along with examples below, illustrate that embodiments can use targetedtechniques. The size distribution of plasma DNA can be determined usingpaired-end massively parallel sequencing. In other embodiments, the sizedistribution of plasma DNA can be determined for example by not limitedto using real-time PCR, electrophoresis and mass spectrometry analysis.

To obtain high-fold sequencing coverage of the target regions, theAgilent SureSelect Target Enrichment System was employed in oneembodiment to design probes to capture DNA molecules from chr7 (0.9 Mbregion), chr13 (1.1 Mb region), chr18 (1.2 Mb region) and chr21 (1.3 Mbregion). In the probe design, exons on chr7, chr13, chr18, and the Downsyndrome critical region on chr21 (21q22.1-q22.3) were first selected astarget regions. Because chr13, chr18 and chr21 have less exonic regionsthan chr7, additional non-exonic regions on chr13, chr18, and the Downsyndrome critical region on chr21 were introduced to balance the totallength of the targeted region among the above four chromosomes. Theselected non-exonic regions were 120 bp in length, uniquely mappable,with GC content close to 0.5 and evenly distributed over the targetedchromosomes

Coordinates of all of the above exonic and non-exonic regions weresubmitted to the Agilent eArray platform for probe design. 500 ng ofeach maternal plasma DNA library was incubated with the capture probesfor 24 h at 65° C. After hybridization, the targeted DNA molecules wereeluted and amplified by a 12-cycle PCR according to manufacturer'sinstructions. Libraries with target enrichment were indexed andsequenced on a GA IIx (Illumina) using the 50-bp×2 PE format. Anadditional 7 cycles of sequencing were performed to decode the indexsequence on each sequenced plasma DNA molecule. The 50-bp sequence readswere aligned to the non-repeat-masked human reference genome (Hg18)(genome.ucsc.edu), using the Short Oligonucleotide Alignment Program 2(SOAP2) (soap.genomics.org.cn). PE reads with individual members weresequenced on the same cluster position on the flow cell and uniquelyaligned to a single location in the human genome with the correctorientation. Two mismatches were allowed; complexity of the sequencinglibrary was significantly reduced after target enrichment.

Only the PE reads that demonstrated an insert size ≦600 bp wereretrieved for analysis. With these criteria, the size of the analyzedplasma DNA fragments in the current study ranged from 36 bp to 600 bp.The size of each sequenced DNA fragment was inferred from thecoordinates of the outermost nucleotides at each end of the sequencedfragments. The fractional concentrations of fetal DNA in the maternalplasma samples were estimated from the ratio of fragments carrying thefetal-specific alleles and the alleles shared with the respectivemothers.

No. Gestational No. of PE reads Fetal DNA of age (weeks) (millions)fraction (%) Case type cases median (range) median (range) median(range) Euploid 21 13.0 (12.0-13.3) 2.2 (1.7-3.0) 13.5 (8.4-22.0) T21 1713.6 (12.6-20.9) 2.1 (1.5-2.7) 15.4 (8.7-22.7) T18 9 12.7 (11.9-13.7)1.9 (1.7-3.1) 10.5 (7.2-16.3) T13 1 13 1.6 9.2 All 48 13.1 (11.9-20.9)2.1 (1.5-3.1) 13.4 (7.2-22.7)Table 2 shows data from targeted sequencing for samples of variousaneuploidy status.

C. Electrophoresis for Fetal Sample

In addition to using massively parallel sequencing, the analysis of thesize distribution of plasma DNA can be achieved by electrophoresis.Electrophoresis measures a time for a fragment to move through a medium.Particles of different sizes take different times to move through themedium. Thus, in one embodiment, microfluidic electrophoresis ofsequencing library of maternal plasma DNA can be performed to determinethe size distribution of the maternal plasma DNA.

FIG. 4 is a plot 400 showing a size distribution (electropherogram) ofmaternal plasma DNA obtained using electrophoresis according toembodiments of the present invention. The microfluidic electrophoresiswas performed using the Agilent 2100 Bioanalyzer. The electropherogramsof the sequencing libraries of two samples are shown in plot 400. TheX-axis represents the time duration the DNA taken to reach the sensorand corresponds to the size of the DNA fragments. The Y-axis representsthe fluorescence units (FU) of the DNA fragments passing through thesensor at a particular time.

The time duration a DNA fragment takes to reach the sensor is positivelycorrelated with the size of the DNA fragment. The Bioanalyzer canautomatically convert the time duration to fragment size by comparingthe running time of the test sample to those of a mixture of DNAfragments with known lengths (i.e., a DNA ladder). The DNA sequencinglibraries were subsequently sequenced using massively parallelsequencing and the fraction of chromosome Y sequences were used todetermine the fractional fetal DNA concentrations of these samples.

In plot 400, the solid line 410 represents the sample UK92797 which hada fractional fetal DNA concentration of 8.3% and the dashed line 420represents the sample UK94884 which had a fractional fetal DNAconcentration of 20.3%. Comparing with sample UK92797, sample UK94884(the sample with the higher fractional fetal DNA) had a relativelyhigher amount of DNA at electrophoretic time interval from 63 seconds to73 seconds (region A) which corresponds to DNA size from 200 bp to 267bp and a relatively lower amount of DNA at electrophoretic time of 76s(region B), corresponding to a DNA size of ˜292 bp

According the manufacturer's protocol, DNA adaptors and primer setswhich had a total size of 122 bp were introduced to the plasma DNA forsequencing library construction. Therefore, the region A corresponds toplasma DNA fragments approximately from 78 bp to 145 bp, and region Bcorresponds to plasma DNA fragments of approximately 170 bp. Suchdeduction can be adapted to different protocols for DNA libraryconstruction. For example, during the Illumina single-read sequencinglibrary preparation, a total size of 92 bp from adapter/primer setswould be introduced, while this size would be 119 bp for the standardpaired-end sequencing library preparation.

In another embodiment, the plasma DNA can be amplified by a whole genomeamplification system known to those skilled in the art, e.g. the RubiconGenomics PlasmaPlex WGA kit (www.rubicongenomics.com/products). Theamplified products can then analyzed by the Bioanalyzer. In yet otherembodiments, the amplified products can be analyzed by a electrophoreticsystem from e.g. Caliper (www.caliperls.com/products/labchip-systems).In yet other embodiments, the size distribution of plasma DNA can beanalyzed directly, without amplification, using for example, ananopore-based sequencer (e.g. from Oxford Nanopore Technologies(www.nanoporetech.com)), or a Helico DNA sequencer (www.helicosbio.com).

IV. Size Parameters

As mentioned above, various parameters can provide a statistical measureof a size profile of DNA fragments in the biological sample. A parametercan be defined using the sizes of all of the DNA fragments analyzed, orjust a portion. In one embodiment, a parameter provides a relativeabundance of short and long DNA fragments, where the short and long DNAmay correspond to specific sizes or ranges of sizes.

To investigate if the overall size distribution of maternal plasma DNAcan be used for reflecting the fractional fetal DNA concentration, wehave used different parameters to quantify the relative abundance ofshort and long DNA, and determined the correlation between theseparameters and fractional fetal DNA concentrations. The results of theseinvestigations are provided in sections below. Parameters that we used,for illustration purposes, for reflecting the relative abundance ofshort DNA include:

i. Proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bp or below, which is labeled CF(size ≦150)). CF refers to cumulative frequency. Thus, CF (size≦150)refers to the cumulative frequency of fragments less than or equal to150 bp;

ii. Ratio of the amounts of DNA fragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bpto 169 bp, which is labeled (CF(size≦150)/size(163-169));

iii. Ratio of the amounts of DNA fragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNAfrom 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled (size(140-146)/size(163-169));

iv. Ratio of the amounts of DNA fragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNAfrom 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled (size(140-154)/size(163-169));and

v. Ratio of the amounts of DNA fragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNAfrom 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled (size(100-150)/size(163-169)).

Other examples of parameters are the frequency counters of a histogram.In one embodiment, multiple parameters may be used. For example, thevalue of each parameter may give a difference percentage and then anaverage percentage can be determined. In another embodiment, eachparameter corresponds to a different dimension of a multidimensionalcalibration function, where the values of the parameters for a newsample corresponds to a coordinate on the corresponding multidimensionalsurface.

V. Correlation of Size to Fractional Concentration

The two samples sets using sequencing are used to illustrate thecorrelation of various size parameters to fractional concentration. Ananalysis of the size of repeat elements is also provided. Theelectrophoresis data also shows a correlation between size parametersand fractional concentration.

A. First Sample Set

FIG. 5A is a plot 500 showing a proportion of DNA fragments that are 150bp or below for samples having various fetal DNA percentage in maternalplasma according to embodiments of the present invention. The proportionof DNA≦150 bp is plotted against the fractional fetal DNA concentrationfor the 80 maternal plasma samples. The euploid samples are representedby filled circles. The trisomy 13 (T13) samples are represented byunfilled triangles. The trisomy 18 (T18) samples are represented byunfilled rhombus and the trisomy 21 (T21) samples are represented byinverted unfilled triangles.

There is a positive relationship between the fractional fetal DNAconcentration and the proportion of DNA≦150 bp for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.787). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration appears to beconsistent across samples with different fetal chromosomal status. Theseresults suggest that the analysis of the size parameter is useful forestimating the fractional fetal DNA concentration in a maternal plasmasample. Accordingly, the data points in FIG. 5 can be used as thecalibration data points of method 300. Then, if the parameterCF(size≦150) is determined to be 30 for a new sample, the fetal DNApercentage can be estimated as being between about 7% and 16%. The datapoints in FIG. 5 can also be used to determine a calibration functionthat fits the raw data points shown.

FIG. 5B is a plot 550 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)). The CF(size≦150)/size(163-169) ratio isplotted against the fractional fetal DNA concentration for the 80maternal plasma samples. There is a positive relationship between thefractional fetal DNA concentration and the CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)ratio for all samples (Pearson correlation coefficient=0.815). Thepositive correlation between the size parameter and the fractional fetalDNA concentration is consistent across samples with different fetalchromosomal ploidy status.

FIG. 6A is a plot 600 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)). Thesize(140-146)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted against the fractionalfetal DNA concentration for the 80 maternal plasma samples. There is apositive relationship between the fractional fetal DNA concentration andthe size(140-146)/size(163-169) ratio for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.808). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration is consistentacross samples with different fetal chromosomal ploidy status.

FIG. 6B is a plot 650 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)). Thesize(140-154)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted against the fractionalfetal DNA concentration for the 80 maternal plasma samples. There is apositive relationship between the fractional fetal DNA concentration andthe size(140-154)/size(163-169) ratio for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.802). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration appears to beconsistent across samples with different fetal chromosomal ploidystatus.

FIG. 7 is a plot 700 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled (size(100-150)/size(163-169)). The size(100-150)/size(163-169)ratio is plotted against the fractional fetal DNA concentration for the80 maternal plasma samples. There is a positive relationship between thefractional fetal DNA concentration and the size(100-150)/size(163-169)ratio for all samples (Pearson correlation coefficient=0.831). Thepositive correlation between the size parameter and the fractional fetalDNA concentration is consistent across samples with different fetalchromosomal ploidy status.

B. Second Sample Set

FIG. 8 is a plot 800 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bp orbelow for samples having various fetal DNA percentage in maternal plasmaaccording to embodiments of the present invention. The proportion ofDNA≦150 bp is plotted against the fractional fetal DNA concentration forthe 48 maternal plasma samples which were massively parallel paired-endsequenced after target enrichment. The euploid samples are representedby filled circles. The trisomy 13 (T13) samples are represented byunfilled triangles. The trisomy 18 (T18) samples are represented byunfilled rhombus and the trisomy 21 (T21) samples are represented byinverted unfilled triangles. There is a positive relationship betweenthe fractional fetal DNA concentration and the proportion of DNA≦150 bpfor all samples (Pearson correlation coefficient=0.816). The positivecorrelation between the size parameter and the fractional fetal DNAconcentration is consistent across samples with different fetalchromosomal status. These results suggest that the analysis of the sizeparameter is useful for estimating the fractional fetal DNAconcentration in a maternal plasma sample.

FIG. 9A is a plot 900 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)). The CF(size≦150)/size(163-169) ratio isplotted against the fractional fetal DNA concentration for the 48maternal plasma samples. There is a positive relationship between thefractional fetal DNA concentration and the CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)ratio for all samples (Pearson correlation coefficient=0.776). Thepositive correlation between the size parameter and the fractional fetalDNA concentration is consistent across samples with different fetalchromosomal ploidy status.

FIG. 9B is a plot 950 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)). Thesize(140-146)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted against the fractionalfetal DNA concentration for the 48 maternal plasma samples. There is apositive relationship between the fractional fetal DNA concentration andthe size(140-146)/size(163-169) ratio for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.790). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration is consistentacross samples with different fetal chromosomal ploidy status.

FIG. 10A is a plot 1000 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)). Thesize(140-154)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted against the fractionalfetal DNA concentration for the 48 maternal plasma samples. There is apositive relationship between the fractional fetal DNA concentration andthe size(140-154)/size(163-169) ratio for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.793). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration is consistentacross samples with different fetal chromosomal ploidy status.

FIG. 10B is a plot 1005 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)). Thesize(100-150)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted against the fractionalfetal DNA concentration for the 48 maternal plasma samples. There is apositive relationship between the fractional fetal DNA concentration andthe size(100-150)/size(163-169) ratio for all samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.798). The positive correlation between thesize parameter and the fractional fetal DNA concentration is consistentacross samples with different fetal chromosomal ploidy status

C. Repeats

Above, we have demonstrated that the size of all mappable DNA fragmentsin the maternal plasma is correlated with the fractional fetal DNAconcentration. In this section, we investigate if the analysis of thesize of the repeat elements in the genome can also be used for theestimation of fractional fetal DNA concentration in plasma. In thecurrent example, we analyzed the size distribution of the DNA fragmentsmapping to the Alu repeats of the genome.

FIG. 11 is a plot showing a size ratio plotted vs. fetal DNA percentagefor the size of repeat elements according to embodiments of the presentinvention. This example uses the ratio of the amounts of DNA fragmentsfrom 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp(size(100-150)/size(163-169)) to reflect the alteration in the sizedistribution vs. fetal DNA percentage. There is a positive correlationbetween the size ratio and the fractional fetal DNA concentration(Pearson correlation coefficient=0.829). This result suggests that thesize analysis of the repeat elements can also be used to determine thefractional fetal DNA concentration in a maternal sample.

In addition to using massively parallel sequencing, other methods, e.g.PCR, real-time PCR and mass spectrometry analysis can also be used todetermine the size distribution of the repeat elements (e.g., Alurepeats) in maternal plasma. In one embodiment, the DNA in a maternalplasma sample can be ligated to a linker. Then, PCR can be performedusing one primer specific to the Alu sequences and the other primerspecific to the linker. Following PCR, the PCR products could beanalyzed for their sizes, e.g. by electrophoresis, mass spectrometry, ormassively parallel sequencing. This would allow a readout of the sizesof sequences derived from the Alu repeats in maternal plasma. Thisstrategy can be used for other target sequence or sequence family.Furthermore, the PCR can be followed by a nested PCR involving anotherAlu-specific primer, in combination with either the same linker-specificprimer or a nested primer within the linker. Such nested PCR would havethe advantage of increasing the specificity of the amplification towardsthe sequence of interest (in this case being the Alu sequences).

One advantage of using repeat elements is that they have a relativelyhigh copy number and so they may be easier to analyze. For example, onemay be able to use fewer cycles of amplification. Also, with a highercopy number, the analytical precision is potentially higher. A potentialdisadvantage is that certain classes of repeat elements may have copynumbers that vary from individual to individual.

D. Electrophoresis

FIG. 12A is an electropherogram 1200 that may be used to determine asize ratio according to embodiments of the present invention. For all ofthe analyzed DNA libraries, there was a sharp peak at approximately 292bp, followed by a secondary peak ranging from 300 bp to 400 bp. As thearea under curve for a size range can represent the relative amount ofDNA fragments from that region, we used the ratio of the area of regionsA (from 200 bp to 267 bp) and B (from 290 bp to 294 bp) to quantify therelative abundance of short and long DNA fragments. We first manuallyadjusted the baseline of fluorescence units (FU) to 0 and then generatedthe area for the selected region.

FIG. 12B is a plot 1250 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 200 bp to 267 bp and DNA from 290 bp to 294 bp (i.e., theratio of the areas of region A and B shown on the electropherogram) forsamples having various fetal DNA percentages in maternal plasmaaccording to embodiments of the present invention. There was one T13case showing a low 292-bp peak with the FU value of 6.1, whereas allother cases showed a FU value ≧20 FUs. As the low FU value would makethe area measurement imprecise, this case was ignored from the analysis.The ratio of the areas of region A and B is plotted against thefractional fetal DNA concentration for the all other 79 maternal plasmasamples. There is a positive relationship between the fractional fetalDNA concentration and the area A and B ratio for these samples (Pearsoncorrelation coefficient=0.723).

VI. Determining Calibration Data Points

As mentioned above, the calibration data points may be defined in avariety of ways. Additionally, the calibration data points may beobtained in a variety of ways. For example, the calibration data pointsmay simply be read from memory as a series of calibration values of aparameter along with the corresponding fractional concentration. Also, acalibration function can be read from memory (e.g., a linear ornon-linear function with a predetermined functional form), where thefunction defines the calibration data points. In some embodiments, thecalibration data points can be calculated from data measured fromcalibration samples.

A. Method

FIG. 13 is a flowchart of a method 1300 for determining calibration datapoints from measurements made from calibration samples according toembodiments of the present invention. The calibration samples includethe clinically-relevant DNA and other DNA.

At block 1310, a plurality of calibration samples are received. Thecalibration samples may be obtained as described herein. Each sample canbe analyzed separately via separate experiments or via someidentification means (e.g., tagging a DNA fragment with a bar code) toidentify which sample a molecule was from. For example, a calibrationsample may be received at a machine, e.g., a sequencing machine, whichoutputs measurement data (e.g., sequence reads) that can be used todetermine sizes of the DNA fragments, or is received at anelectrophoresis machine.

At block 1320, the fractional concentration of clinically-relevant DNAis measured in each of the plurality of calibration samples. In variousembodiments measuring a fetal DNA concentration, a paternally-inheritedsequence or a fetal-specific epigenetic markers may be used. Forexample, a paternally-inherited allele would be absent from a genome ofthe pregnant female and can be detected in maternal plasma at apercentage that is proportional to the fractional fetal DNAconcentration. Fetal-specific epigenetic markers can include DNAsequences that exhibit fetal or placental-specific DNA methylationpatterns in maternal plasma.

At block 1330, amounts of DNA fragments from each calibration sample aremeasured for various sizes. The sizes may be measured as describedherein. The sizes may be counted, plotted, used to create a histogram,or other sorting procedure to obtain data regarding a size profile ofthe calibration sample.

At block 1340, a calibration value is calculated for a parameter basedon the amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. A calibration valuecan be calculated for each calibration sample. In one embodiment, thesame parameter is used for each calibration value. However, embodimentsmay use multiple parameters as described herein. For example, thecumulative fraction of DNA fragments less than 150 bases may be used asthe parameter, and samples with different fractional concentration wouldlikely have different calibration values. A calibration data point maybe determined for each sample, where the calibration data point includesthe calibration value and the measured fractional concentration for thesample. These calibration data points can be used in method 300, or canbe used to determine the final calibration data points (e.g., as definedvia a functional fit).

At block 1350, a function that approximates the calibration valuesacross a plurality of fractional concentrations is determined. Forexample, a linear function could be fit to the calibration values as afunction of fractional concentration. The linear function can define thecalibration data points to be used in method 300.

In some embodiments, calibration values for multiple parameters can becalculated for each sample. The calibration values for a sample candefine a multidimensional coordinate (where each dimension is for eachparameter) that along with the fractional concentration can provide adata point. Thus, in one implementation, a multidimensional function canbe fit to all of the multidimensional data points. Accordingly, amultidimensional calibration curve can be used, where the differentvalues of the parameters can effectively be input to a singlecalibration function that outputs the fractional concentration. And, thesingle calibration function can result from a functional fit of all ofthe data points obtained from the calibration samples.

B. Measuring Tumoral DNA Concentration

As mentioned, embodiments can also be applied to concentration of tumorDNA in a biological sample. An example involving determining thefractional concentration of tumoral DNA follows.

We collected the plasma samples from two patients suffering fromhepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) before and after surgical resection ofthe tumors. The size analysis was performed using paired-end (PE)massively parallel sequencing. Sequencing libraries of maternal plasmaDNA were constructed as previously described (Lo Y M et al. Sci TranslMed 2010; 2:61ra91). All libraries were sequenced by a HiSeq 2000(Illumina) using the 50-bp×2 PE format. The 50-bp sequence reads werealigned to the non-repeat-masked human reference genome (Hg18)(genome.ucsc.edu), using the Short Oligonucleotide Alignment Program 2(SOAP2) (soap.genomics.org.cn). The size of each sequenced fragments wasinferred from the coordinates of the outermost nucleotides at each endof the aligned fragments.

We genotyped the DNA extracted from the blood cells and the tumor sampleof the HCC patients using the Affymetrix SNP6.0 microarray system. Foreach case, the regions demonstrating loss of heterozygosity (LOH) in thetumor tissue were identified using the Affymetrix Genotyping Consolev4.0 based on the intensities of the different alleles of the SNP loci.The fractional concentrations of tumor-derived DNA (F) were estimatedfrom the difference in amounts of sequences carrying the deleted andnon-deleted alleles at the LOH regions using the following formula:F=(A−B)/A×100%, where A is the number of sequence reads carrying thenon-deleted alleles at the heterozygous SNPs in the LOH regions, and Bis the number of sequence reads carrying the deleted alleles for theheterozygous SNPs in the LOH regions. Table 3 shows the results.

No. of Fractional sequenced concentration of tumor Case No. Samplingtime reads DNA in plasma (%) 1 before tumor resection 448M 51.60 aftertumor resection 486M 0.90 2 before tumor resection 479M 5.60 after tumorresection 542M 0.90Table 3 shows sequencing information and measured fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA in the plasma samples.

In another embodiment, a locus that exhibits duplication can be used.For example, a tumor can exhibit a gain of one copy of one of the twohomologous chromosomes such that an allele is duplicated. Then, one candetermine a first amount A of sequence reads having a non-duplicatedallele at the one or more heterozygous loci (e.g., SNPs) and a secondamount B of sequence reads having a duplicated allele at theheterozygous loci. The fractional concentration F of clinically-relevantDNA can be calculated as a ratio of the first amount and the secondamount using a ratio (B−A)/A.

In another embodiment, one or more homozygous loci may be used. Forexample, one can identify one or more loci where the patient ishomozygous and where a single nucleotide mutation is present in thetumor tissue. Then, a first amount A of sequence reads having a wildtypeallele at the one or more homozygous loci can be determined. And, asecond amount B of sequence reads having a mutant allele at one or morehomozygous loci can be determined. The fractional concentration F ofclinically-relevant DNA can be calculated as a ratio of the first amountand the second amount using a ratio 2B/(A+B).

C. Example of Functional Fit to Data Points

An example of performing a functional fit to the parameter valuesdetermined from calibration samples is now described. Plasma samplesfrom 80 pregnant women each carrying a singleton male fetus wereanalyzed. Among these 80 pregnant women, 39 were carrying euploidfetuses, 13 were carrying trisomy 13 (T13) fetuses, 10 were carryingtrisomy 18 (T18 fetuses) and 18 were carrying trisomy 21 (T21) fetuses.The median gestational age of the pregnant women was 13 weeks and 1 day.DNA was extracted from the plasma samples and sequenced using theIllumina HiSeq2000 platform as described (Zheng Y W et al. Clin Chem.2012; 58:549-58.) except that the sequencing was performed in an 8-plexformat. For each DNA molecule, 50 nucleotides were sequenced from eachof the two ends and aligned to a reference genome (hg18).

The size of each sequenced molecule was then deduced from thecoordinates of the outermost nucleotides at both ends. For each sample,a median of 11.1 million fragments were sequenced and aligned uniquelyto the reference genome. A ratio was calculated by dividing theproportion of DNA molecules with size 100 bp to 150 bp by the proportionof DNA molecules with size 163 bp to 169 bp and this ratio is termed thesize ratio. As all the 80 pregnancies were carrying a male fetus, theproportion of sequence reads that were uniquely aligned to thechromosome Y was used to determine the fractional concentration of fetalDNA in each plasma DNA sample.

The samples were randomly divided into two sets, namely the training setand validation set. The relationship between the fractional fetal DNAconcentration and the size ratio was established based the samples inthe training set using linear regression. Then, the size ratio was usedto deduce the fractional fetal DNA concentration for the validation setusing the linear regression formula. The validation is discussed in thenext section.

FIG. 14A is a plot 1400 of a size ratio against the fractionalconcentration of fetal DNA for the training set according to embodimentsof the present invention. As mentioned above, the size ratio iscalculated by dividing the proportion of DNA molecules with size 100 bpto 150 bp by the proportion of DNA molecules with size 163 bp to 169 bp.The size ratio is plotted against the fractional concentration of fetalDNA, as shown by data points 1405. The unfilled circles represent theeuploid cases. The filled symbols represent the aneuploidy cases (squarefor T13, circle for T18 and triangle for T21). The linear regressionline 1410 results from the functional fit to the data points. Thefunctional fit can be performed via any suitable techniques, e.g., leastsquares. The line 1410 can be used to estimate values of parametersmeasured for other samples, not in the training set. Each part of line1410 can be considered a calibration data point.

VII. Comparison to Calibration Data Points

As mentioned above, the calibration data points can be used to determinethe fractional concentration of the clinically relevant DNA. Forexample, the raw data points 1405 in FIG. 14A may be used to provide arange of fractional DNA concentration for a particular calibration value(labeled size ratio in FIG. 14A), where the range can be used todetermine if the fractional concentration is above a threshold amount.Instead of a range, an average of the fractional concentrations at aparticular size ratio can be used. For example, the fractionalconcentration corresponding to a measurement of 1.3 as the size ratio ina new sample can be determined as the average concentration calculatedfrom the two data points at 1.3. In one embodiment, a functional fit(e.g., line 1410) may be used.

FIG. 14B is a plot 1450 of fractional concentrations deduced (estimated)from linear function 1410 of FIG. 14A against the fractionalconcentrations measured using fetal-specific sequences according toembodiments of the present invention. Using the regression equation(i.e., line 1410) determined based on the data of the training set, thesize ratio determined for a validation sample was used to deduce thefractional concentration of fetal DNA for the samples of the validationset. The measured fractional concentrations correspond to the proportionof chromosome Y sequences in the plasma DNA sample (i.e., proportion ofsequence reads aligning to the chromosome Y).

The line 1460 represents the perfect correlation between the two sets ofvalues. The deviation of a data point 1455 indicates how accurate theestimate was, with points on line 1460 being perfectly accurate. Asnoted herein, the estimate does not have to be perfectly accurate, asthe desired test may simply be to determine whether a sufficientpercentage of clinically-relevant DNA is in the biological sample. Theunfilled circles represent the euploid cases. The filled symbolsrepresent the aneuploidy cases (square for T13, circle for T18 andtriangle for T21). The median difference between the fractional fetalDNA concentration deduced from the size ratio and that measured from theproportion of chromosome Y sequences was 2.1%. The difference was lessthan 4.9% in 90% of the samples.

Samples with different ploidy status were used in both the calibrationset and the validation set. As shown in FIG. 14A, the relationshipbetween the size ratio and the fractional fetal DNA concentration wereconsistent across samples with different ploidy status. As a result, thefractional fetal DNA concentration can be deduced from the size ratio ofthe sample without a prior knowledge of the ploidy status of the sampleas illustrated in FIG. 14B. One calibration curve was used for sampleswith different ploidy status and, hence, we do not need to know theploidy status of the sample before using embodiments to determine thefractional fetal DNA concentration.

VIII. Cancer

As described herein, embodiments can be used to estimate the fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA in a biological sample. As with the fetalexamples, calibration samples can be used to determine correlation datapoints, e.g., by fitting a function (e.g., a linear function) to datapoints showing a correlation between a value of a size parameter and ameasured fractional concentration.

A. Correlation of Size to Tumoral DNA concentration

FIG. 15A is a plot 1500 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bpor below for samples having various tumor DNA percentages in plasma oftwo HCC patients before and after tumor resection according toembodiments of the present invention. The proportion of DNA≦150 bp isplotted against the fractional tumoral DNA concentrations for the twoHCC patients before (filled circles) and after (unfilled circles) tumorresection. The two unfilled circles are very close in location to oneanother (effectively on top of each other). These results suggest thatthe analysis of the size parameter is useful for estimating thefractional tumoral DNA concentration in the plasma sample of HCCpatents. There is a reduction in both the fractional tumor DNAconcentration and the proportion of DNA fragments of ≦150 bp after tumorresection. The filled circle 1505 corresponds to a sample with muchlower tumor DNA percentage, which is related to a smaller size of thetumor. In other words, the patient with a larger tumor has a higherproportion of short DNA which is reflected by a higher ratio of CF(150bp) compared with the patient with a smaller tumor.

FIG. 15B is a plot 1550 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients before and aftertumor resection. The CF(size≦150)/size(163-169) ratio is plotted againstthe fractional tumoral DNA concentrations for the two HCC patientsbefore (filled circles) and after (unfilled circles) tumor resection.The two unfilled circles are very close in location to one another.There is a reduction in both the fractional tumor DNA concentration andthe size ratio after tumor resection.

FIG. 16A is a plot 1600 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled (size(140-146)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients before andafter tumor resection. The size(140-146)/size(163-169) ratio is plottedagainst the fractional tumoral DNA concentrations for the two HCCpatients before (filled circles) and after (unfilled circles) tumorresection. There is a reduction in both the fractional tumor DNAconcentration and the size ratio after tumor resection.

FIG. 16B is a plot 1650 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients beforeand after tumor resection. The size(140-154)/size(163-169) ratio isplotted against the fractional tumoral DNA concentrations for the twoHCC patients before (filled circles) and after (unfilled circles) tumorresection. There is a reduction in both the fractional tumor DNAconcentration and the size ratio after tumor resection.

FIG. 17 is a plot 1700 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)), for two HCC patients beforeand after tumor resection. The size(100-150)/size(163-169) ratio isplotted against the fractional tumoral DNA concentrations for the twoHCC patients before (filled circles) and after (unfilled circles) tumorresection. There is a reduction in both the fractional tumor DNAconcentration and the size ratio after tumor resection.

B. Size Decrease Due to Treatment

FIG. 18A is a plot 1800 showing a proportion of DNA fragments of 150 bpor below for HCC patients before and after tumor resection. The pair ofsamples from the same cancer patient is depicted by identical symbolsconnected by a dashed line. There is a general decrease in theproportion of DNA≦150 bp for the plasma DNA in cancer patients aftertumor resection.

The separation in the values of the proportion for pre-treatment andpost-treatment illustrate a correlation between the existence of a tumorand the value of the size parameter. The separation in the values forpre-treatment and post-treatment can be used to determine how successfulthe treatment was, e.g., by comparing the proportion to a threshold,where a proportion below the threshold can indicate success. In anotherexample, a difference between the pre-treatment and post-treatment canbe compared to a threshold.

The proportion (or any other value of a size parameter) can also be usedto detect an occurrence of a tumor. For example, a baseline value for asize parameter can be determined. Then, at a later time, a value for thesize parameter can be measured again. If the value of the size parametershows a significant change, then the patient may be at a higher risk ofhaving a tumor. If the value of the size parameter does not vary muchamong individuals, which FIG. 18A indicates that the proportion does not(i.e., since post-treatment values are the same), then the same baselinevalue can be used for other patients. Thus, a baseline value does notneed to be taken for each patient.

FIG. 18B is a plot 1850 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments of ≦150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which is labeled as(CF(size≦150)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before and after tumorresection. The pair of samples from the same cancer patient is depictedby identical symbols connected by a dashed line. There is a decrease inthis size ratio for the two cases after tumor resection.

FIG. 19A is a plot 1900 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 146 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-146)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection. The pair of samples from the same cancer patientis depicted by identical symbols connected by a dashed line. There isdecrease in this size ratio for the two cases after tumor resection.

FIG. 19B is a plot 1950 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 140 bp to 154 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(140-154)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection. The pair of samples from the same cancer patientis depicted by identical symbols connected by a dashed line. There is adecrease in this size ratio for the two cases after tumor resection.

FIG. 20 is a plot 2000 showing a size ratio of the amounts of DNAfragments from 100 bp to 150 bp and DNA from 163 bp to 169 bp, which islabeled as (size(100-150)/size(163-169)), for HCC patients before andafter tumor resection. The pair of samples from the same cancer patientis depicted by identical symbols connected by a dashed line. There is adecrease in this size ratio for the two cases after tumor resection.

C. Method

FIG. 21 is a flowchart illustrating a method 2100 for analyzing abiological sample of an organism to determine a classification of alevel of cancer according to embodiments of the present invention.Method 2100 can analyze the biological sample of the organism (e.g., ahuman). The biological sample includes DNA originating from normal cellsand potentially from cells associated with cancer. At least some of theDNA is cell-free in the biological sample. Aspects of methods 300 and1300 can be used with embodiments of method 2100.

At block 2110, amounts of DNA fragments corresponding to various sizesare measured. For each size of a plurality of sizes, an amount of aplurality of DNA fragments from the biological sample corresponding tothe size can be measured, as described for method 300. The plurality ofDNA fragments may be chosen at random or preferentially selected fromone or more predetermined regions of a genome. For example, targetedenrichment may be performed or selection of sequence reads that are fromparticular regions of the genome may be used, e.g., as described above.

At block 2120, a first value of a first parameter is calculated based onthe amounts of DNA fragments at multiple sizes. In one aspect, the firstparameter provides a statistical measure of a size profile (e.g., ahistogram) of DNA fragments in the biological sample. The parameter maybe referred to as a size parameter since it is determined from the sizesof the plurality of DNA fragments. Examples of parameter are providedherein. Multiple parameters may be used, as is also described herein.

At block 2130, the first value is compared to a reference value.Examples of a reference value include a normal value and a cutoff valuethat is a specified distance from a normal value (e.g., in units ofstandard deviation). The reference value may be determined from adifferent sample from the same organism (e.g., when the organism wasknown to be healthy). Thus, the reference value may correspond to avalue of the first parameter determined from a sample when the organismis presumed to have no cancer. In one embodiment, the biological sampleis obtained from the organism after treatment and the reference valuecorresponds to a value of the first parameter determined from a sampletaken before treatment (e.g., illustrated above). The reference valuemay also be determined from samples of other healthy organisms.

At block 2140, a classification of a level of cancer in the organism isdetermined based on the comparison. In various embodiments, theclassification may be numerical, textual, or any other indicator. Theclassification can provide a binary result of yes or no as to cancer, aprobability or other score, which may be absolute or a relative value,e.g., relative to a previous classification of the organism at anearlier time. In one implementation, the classification is that theorganism does not have cancer or that the level of cancer has decreased.In another implementation, the classification is that the organism doeshave cancer or that a level of cancer has increased.

As described herein, the level of cancer can include an existence ofcancer, a stage of the cancer, or a size of a tumor. For example,whether the first value exceeds (e.g., greater than or less than,depending on how the first parameter is define) can be used to determineif cancer exists, or at least a likelihood (e.g., a percentagelikelihood). The extent above the threshold can provide an increasinglikelihood, which can lead to the use of multiple thresholds.Additionally, the extent above can correspond to a different level ofcancer, e.g., more tumors or larger tumors. Thus, embodiments candiagnose, stage, prognosticate, or monitor progress of a level of cancerin the organism.

D. Determining Size Distribution for Particular Regions

As with other embodiments, the first set of DNA fragments can correspondto one or more predetermined regions of a genome of the organism. Thus,the size analysis can also be performed for select regions, e.g.,specific chromosomes, arms of chromosomes, or multiple regions (bins) ofthe same length, e.g., 1 Mb. For example, one can focus on regions thatare commonly altered in a cancer type of interest. Table 2200 of FIG. 22shows some common chromosomal aberrations seen in various types ofcancers. The gain refers to an amplification of a chromosome with one ormore additional copies within a particular segment and loss refers todeletions of one or both homologous chromosome within a particularsegment.

In one embodiment, additional sets of DNA fragments can be identifiedfrom the biological sample. Each set of DNA fragments can correspond todifferent predetermined regions, such as the regions specified in table2200. Regions that are not associated with cancer could also be used,e.g., to determine a reference value. The amount of DNA fragmentscorresponding to various sizes can be determined and size value of aparameter can be determined for each additional set of DNA fragments, asdescribed herein. Thus, a different size value can be determined foreach genomic region, where there is a one-one correspondence between aset of DNA fragments and a genomic region.

Each of the size values can be compared to a respective reference value.Predetermined regions where the corresponding size value isstatistically different than the respective reference value can beidentified. When a reference value is a normal value, the determinationof statistical difference can be made by comparing a size value to acutoff (e.g., where the cutoff value is a specific number of standarddeviations from the normal value, based on an assumed or measuredstatistical distribution). The respective reference values may be thesame or different for different regions. For example, different regionsmay have different normal values for size.

In one embodiment, the number of regions statistically different thanthe reference value may be used to determine the classification. Thus,one can determine the number of identifying predetermined regions wherethe corresponding size value is statistically different than therespective reference value. The number can be compared to a thresholdnumber of regions to determine the classification of the level of cancerin the organism. The threshold number can be determined based on avariance within normal samples and within cancer samples.

As highlighted in table 2200, different cancers are associated withdifferent parts of the genome. Thus, which regions that statisticallydifferent can be used to determine one or more possible types of cancerwhen the possible types of cancer are associated with the identifiedregions. For example, if a size value for DNA fragments from chromosomalsegment 7p is found to be significantly lower than a normal value (e.g.,as determined by a cutoff value), then colorectal cancer can beidentified as a likely cancer when the classification indicates thatcancer exists. Note that the size value for chromosomal segment 7p maybe used as a sole indicator to determine the classification, or multipleregions may be used. In one embodiment, only if an overallclassification indicates cancer would the size value for chromosomalsegment 7p be used to identify colorectal cancer as a likely cancer.

IX. Computer System

Any of the computer systems mentioned herein may utilize any suitablenumber of subsystems. Examples of such subsystems are shown in FIG. 23in computer apparatus 2300. In some embodiments, a computer systemincludes a single computer apparatus, where the subsystems can be thecomponents of the computer apparatus. In other embodiments, a computersystem can include multiple computer apparatuses, each being asubsystem, with internal components.

The subsystems shown in FIG. 23 are interconnected via a system bus2375. Additional subsystems such as a printer 2374, keyboard 2378, fixeddisk 2379, monitor 2376, which is coupled to display adapter 2382, andothers are shown. Peripherals and input/output (I/O) devices, whichcouple to I/O controller 2371, can be connected to the computer systemby any number of means known in the art, such as serial port 2377. Forexample, serial port 2377 or external interface 2381 (e.g. Ethernet,Wi-Fi, etc.) can be used to connect computer system 2300 to a wide areanetwork such as the Internet, a mouse input device, or a scanner. Theinterconnection via system bus 2375 allows the central processor 2373 tocommunicate with each subsystem and to control the execution ofinstructions from system memory 2372 or the fixed disk 2379, as well asthe exchange of information between subsystems. The system memory 2372and/or the fixed disk 2379 may embody a computer readable medium. Any ofthe values mentioned herein can be output from one component to anothercomponent and can be output to the user.

A computer system can include a plurality of the same components orsubsystems, e.g., connected together by external interface 2381 or by aninternal interface. In some embodiments, computer systems, subsystem, orapparatuses can communicate over a network. In such instances, onecomputer can be considered a client and another computer a server, whereeach can be part of a same computer system. A client and a server caneach include multiple systems, subsystems, or components.

It should be understood that any of the embodiments of the presentinvention can be implemented in the form of control logic using hardware(e.g. an application specific integrated circuit or field programmablegate array) and/or using computer software with a generally programmableprocessor in a modular or integrated manner. Based on the disclosure andteachings provided herein, a person of ordinary skill in the art willknow and appreciate other ways and/or methods to implement embodimentsof the present invention using hardware and a combination of hardwareand software.

Any of the software components or functions described in thisapplication may be implemented as software code to be executed by aprocessor using any suitable computer language such as, for example,Java, C++ or Perl using, for example, conventional or object-orientedtechniques. The software code may be stored as a series of instructionsor commands on a computer readable medium for storage and/ortransmission, suitable media include random access memory (RAM), a readonly memory (ROM), a magnetic medium such as a hard-drive or a floppydisk, or an optical medium such as a compact disk (CD) or DVD (digitalversatile disk), flash memory, and the like. The computer readablemedium may be any combination of such storage or transmission devices.

Such programs may also be encoded and transmitted using carrier signalsadapted for transmission via wired, optical, and/or wireless networksconforming to a variety of protocols, including the Internet. As such, acomputer readable medium according to an embodiment of the presentinvention may be created using a data signal encoded with such programs.Computer readable media encoded with the program code may be packagedwith a compatible device or provided separately from other devices(e.g., via Internet download). Any such computer readable medium mayreside on or within a single computer program product (e.g. a harddrive, a CD, or an entire computer system), and may be present on orwithin different computer program products within a system or network. Acomputer system may include a monitor, printer, or other suitabledisplay for providing any of the results mentioned herein to a user.

Any of the methods described herein may be totally or partiallyperformed with a computer system including one or more processors, whichcan be configured to perform the steps. Thus, embodiments can bedirected to computer systems configured to perform the steps of any ofthe methods described herein, potentially with different componentsperforming a respective steps or a respective group of steps. Althoughpresented as numbered steps, steps of methods herein can be performed ata same time or in a different order. Additionally, portions of thesesteps may be used with portions of other steps from other methods. Also,all or portions of a step may be optional. Additionally, any of thesteps of any of the methods can be performed with modules, circuits, orother means for performing these steps.

The specific details of particular embodiments may be combined in anysuitable manner without departing from the spirit and scope ofembodiments of the invention. However, other embodiments of theinvention may be directed to specific embodiments relating to eachindividual aspect, or specific combinations of these individual aspects.

The above description of exemplary embodiments of the invention has beenpresented for the purposes of illustration and description. It is notintended to be exhaustive or to limit the invention to the precise formdescribed, and many modifications and variations are possible in lightof the teaching above. The embodiments were chosen and described inorder to best explain the principles of the invention and its practicalapplications to thereby enable others skilled in the art to best utilizethe invention in various embodiments and with various modifications asare suited to the particular use contemplated.

A recitation of “a”, “an” or “the” is intended to mean “one or more”unless specifically indicated to the contrary.

All patents, patent applications, publications, and descriptionsmentioned above are herein incorporated by reference in their entiretyfor all purposes. None is admitted to be prior art.

What is claimed is:
 1. A method of estimating a fractional concentrationof fetal DNA in a biological sample from a female pregnant with a fetus,the biological sample including the cell-free fetal DNA and other DNA,the method comprising: measuring an amount of DNA fragments from thebiological sample corresponding to each of a plurality of sizes, theamount including the cell-free fetal DNA and the other DNA, therebymeasuring amounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes;calculating, with a computer system, a first value of a first parameterbased on the amounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes, thefirst parameter providing a statistical measure of a size profile of DNAfragments in the biological sample; obtaining one or more firstcalibration data points, wherein each of the one or more firstcalibration data points specifies a fractional concentration of fetalDNA corresponding to a calibration value of the first parameter, andwherein the one or more first calibration data points are determinedfrom a plurality of calibration samples; comparing the first value to acalibration value of at least one of the one or more first calibrationdata points; and estimating the fractional concentration of the fetalDNA in the biological sample based on the comparison, thereby obtainingthe fractional concentration using an assay that does not require atissue-specific marker.
 2. The method of claim 1, wherein the DNAfragments correspond to one or more predetermined regions of a genome.3. The method of claim 1, wherein the first parameter represents anabundance of small DNA fragments relative to an abundance of large DNAfragments, and wherein the small DNA fragments have a smaller size thanthe large DNA fragments.
 4. The method of claim 1, further comprisingcalculating one or more second values of one or more second parametersbased on the amounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes, the oneor more second parameters providing different statistical measures ofthe size profile of DNA fragments in the biological sample; obtainingone or more second calibration data points corresponding to the one ormore second parameters; comparing the one or more second values tocorresponding second calibration values of the one or more secondcalibration data points; and estimating the fractional concentration ofthe fetal DNA in the biological sample based on the comparisonsinvolving the first value and the one or more second values.
 5. Themethod of claim 4, wherein the one or more first calibration data pointsand the one or more second calibration data points are points on amultidimensional curve and the comparisons involving the first value andthe one or more second values include identifying a multidimensionalpoint having coordinates corresponding to the first value and the one ormore second values.
 6. The method of claim 1, wherein the one or morefirst calibration data points form a calibration curve.
 7. The method ofclaim 1, wherein each of the one or more first calibration data pointsis determined from a histogram corresponding to a different calibrationsample, wherein the histogram provides amounts of DNA fragments at aplurality of sizes, and wherein at least a portion of the plurality ofcalibration samples have different fractional concentrations of fetalDNA.
 8. The method of claim 1, wherein measuring amounts of DNAfragments at the plurality of sizes includes: for each of the DNAfragments from the biological sample: measuring a size of the DNAfragment, wherein measuring the size of the DNA fragment includes:performing paired-end sequencing of the DNA fragment to obtain pairedsequence reads; aligning the paired sequence reads to locations in areference genome; and using the aligned locations to determine the sizeof the DNA fragment.
 9. The method of claim 1, wherein measuring amountsof DNA fragments at each of the plurality of sizes includes usingelectrophoresis.
 10. The method of claim 1, further comprising:calculating the one or more first calibration data points by: for eachof the plurality of calibration samples: measuring the fractionalconcentration of fetal DNA in the calibration sample; measuring amountsof DNA fragments corresponding to the plurality of sizes; andcalculating the calibration value of the first parameter based on theamounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes, the firstcalibration data point of the calibration sample including thecalibration value and the measured fractional concentration of fetalDNA.
 11. The method of claim 10, wherein the one or more firstcalibration data points is a plurality of first calibration data points,the method further comprising: determining a function that approximatesthe calibration values of the plurality of first calibration data pointsacross a plurality of fractional concentrations.
 12. The method of claim11, wherein the function is a linear function.
 13. The method of claim10, wherein measuring the fractional concentration of fetal DNA in oneof the plurality of calibration samples includes at least one of:measuring a paternally-inherited sequence that is absent from a genomeof the pregnant female; and measuring fetal-specific epigenetic markers.14. The method of claim 13, wherein the fetal-specific epigeneticmarkers include DNA sequences that exhibit fetal or placental-specificDNA methylation patterns in maternal plasma or serum.
 15. The method ofclaim 1, wherein a size of the plurality of sizes is a length, amolecular mass, or a parameter that is proportional to the length. 16.The method of claim 1, wherein at least one of the plurality of sizescorresponds to a range.
 17. The method of claim 1, wherein comparing thefirst value to the calibration value comprises determining if the firstvalue is above or below the calibration value.
 18. The method of claim17, wherein estimating the fractional concentration comprises:determining that the fractional concentration of the fetal DNA in thebiological sample is above a fractional concentration corresponding tothe calibration value when the first value is above the calibrationvalue, or determining that the fractional concentration of the fetal DNAin the biological sample is below the fractional concentrationcorresponding to the calibration value when the first value is below thecalibration value.
 19. The method of claim 1, wherein comparing thefirst value to the calibration value comprises inputting the first valueinto a calibration function.
 20. The method of claim 19, wherein thefractional concentration is an output value of the calibration functionwith the first value as an input.
 21. The method of claim 1, furthercomprising: displaying, by the computer system, the estimated fractionalconcentration of the fetal DNA.
 22. The method of claim 1, furthercomprising: comparing the fractional concentration to a threshold value,when the fractional concentration is greater than the threshold value,performing an additional test on the biological sample, and when thefractional concentration is not greater than the threshold value, notperforming the additional test on the biological sample.
 23. The methodof claim 1, wherein measuring amounts of DNA fragments at each of theplurality of sizes includes: extracting plasma or serum from a bloodsample to obtain the biological sample, sequencing the DNA fragmentsfrom the biological sample to obtain sequence data of the DNA fragmentsfrom the biological sample, for each DNA fragment of the DNA fragments:aligning, by the computer system, the sequence data of the DNA fragmentto a reference human genome, and determining, by the computer system, asize of the DNA fragment from the aligned sequence data of the DNAfragment.
 24. The method of claim 1, wherein the biological samplecomprises saliva, pleural fluid, sweat, ascitic fluid, bile, urine,serum, pancreatic juice, stool, and cervical smear samples.
 25. Acomputer product comprising a non-transitory computer readable mediumstoring a plurality of instructions that when executed control acomputer system to estimate a fractional concentration of fetal DNA in abiological sample from a female pregnant with a fetus, the biologicalsample including the cell-free fetal DNA and other DNA, the instructionscomprising: measuring an amount of DNA fragments from the biologicalsample corresponding to each of a plurality of sizes, the amountincluding the cell-free fetal DNA and the other DNA, thereby measuringamounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes; calculating a firstvalue of a first parameter based on the amounts of DNA fragments at theplurality of sizes, the first parameter providing a statistical measureof a size profile of DNA fragments in the biological sample; obtainingone or more first calibration data points, wherein each of the one ormore first calibration data points specifies a fractional concentrationof fetal DNA corresponding to a calibration value of the firstparameter, and wherein the one or more first calibration data points aredetermined from a plurality of calibration samples; comparing the firstvalue to a calibration value of at least one calibration data point; andestimating the fractional concentration of the fetal DNA in thebiological sample based on the comparison, thereby obtaining thefractional concentration using an assay that does not require atissue-specific marker.
 26. A method of estimating a fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA in a biological sample, the biological sampleincluding cell-free tumor DNA and other DNA, the method comprising:measuring an amount of DNA fragments from the biological samplecorresponding to each of a plurality of sizes, the amount including thecell-free tumor DNA and the other DNA, thereby measuring amounts of DNAfragments at the plurality of sizes; calculating, with a computersystem, a first value of a first parameter based on the amounts of DNAfragments at the plurality of sizes, the first parameter providing astatistical measure of a size profile of DNA fragments in the biologicalsample; obtaining one or more first calibration data points, whereineach of the one or more first calibration data points specifies afractional concentration of tumor DNA corresponding to a calibrationvalue of the first parameter, and wherein the one or more firstcalibration data points are determined from a plurality of calibrationsamples; comparing the first value to a calibration value of at leastone of the one or more first calibration data points; and estimating thefractional concentration of the tumor DNA in the biological sample basedon the comparison, thereby obtaining the fractional concentration usingan assay that does not require a tissue-specific marker.
 27. The methodof claim 26, wherein the DNA fragments correspond to one or morepredetermined regions of a genome.
 28. The method of claim 26, whereinthe first parameter represents an abundance of small DNA fragmentsrelative to an abundance of large DNA fragments, and wherein the smallDNA fragments have a smaller size than the large DNA fragments.
 29. Themethod of claim 26, further comprising: calculating one or more secondvalues of one or more second parameters based on the amounts of DNAfragments at the plurality of sizes, the one or more second parametersproviding different statistical measures of the size profile of DNAfragments in the biological sample; obtaining one or more secondcalibration data points corresponding to the one or more secondparameters; comparing the one or more second values to correspondingsecond calibration values of the one or more second calibration datapoints; and estimating the fractional concentration of the tumor DNA inthe biological sample based on the comparisons involving the first valueand the one or more second values.
 30. The method of claim 29, whereinthe one or more first calibration data points and the one or more secondcalibration data points are points on a multidimensional curve and thecomparisons involving the first value and the one or more second valuesinclude identifying a multidimensional point having coordinatescorresponding to the first value and the one or more second values. 31.The method of claim 26, wherein the one or more first calibration datapoints form a calibration curve.
 32. The method of claim 26, whereineach of the one or more first calibration data points is determined froma histogram corresponding to a different calibration sample, wherein thehistogram provides amounts of DNA fragments at a plurality of sizes, andwherein at least a portion of the plurality of calibration samples havedifferent fractional concentrations of tumor DNA.
 33. The method ofclaim 26, wherein measuring amounts of DNA fragments at the plurality ofsizes includes: for each of the DNA fragments from the biologicalsample: measuring a size of the DNA fragment, wherein measuring the sizeof the DNA fragment includes: performing paired-end sequencing of theDNA fragment to obtain paired sequence reads; aligning the pairedsequence reads to locations in a reference genome; and using the alignedlocations to determine the size of the DNA fragment.
 34. The method ofclaim 26, wherein measuring amounts of DNA fragments at each of theplurality of sizes includes using electrophoresis.
 35. The method ofclaim 26, further comprising: calculating the one or more firstcalibration data points by: for each of the plurality of calibrationsamples: measuring the fractional concentration of tumor DNA in thecalibration sample; measuring amounts of DNA fragments corresponding tothe plurality of sizes; and calculating the calibration value of thefirst parameter based on the amounts of DNA fragments at the pluralityof sizes, the first calibration data point of the calibration sampleincluding the calibration value and the measured fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA.
 36. The method of claim 35, wherein the oneor more first calibration data points is a plurality of firstcalibration data points, the method further comprising: determining afunction that approximates the calibration values of the plurality offirst calibration data points across a plurality of fractionalconcentrations.
 37. The method of claim 36, wherein the function is alinear function.
 38. The method of claim 35, wherein the biologicalsample is obtained from a patient, and wherein measuring the fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA in one of the plurality of calibrationsamples includes: identifying one or more loci where the patient isheterozygous and where the tumor exhibits a loss of heterozygosity (LOH)such that an allele is deleted; determining a first amount A of sequencereads having a non-deleted allele at the one or more loci in thebiological sample; determining a second amount B of sequence readshaving a deleted allele at the one or more loci in the biologicalsample; and calculating the fractional concentration F of tumor DNA inthe calibration sample as a ratio of the first amount and the secondamount using a ratio (A−B)/A.
 39. The method of claim 35, wherein thebiological sample is obtained from a patient, and wherein measuring thefractional concentration of tumor DNA in one of the plurality ofcalibration samples includes: identifying one or more loci where thepatient is heterozygous and where the tumor exhibits a duplication inone allele; determining a first amount A of sequence reads having anon-duplicated allele at the one or more loci in the biological sample;determining a second amount B of sequence reads having a duplicatedallele at the one or more loci in the biological sample; and calculatingthe fractional concentration F of tumor DNA in the calibration sample asa ratio of the first amount and the second amount using a ratio (B−A)/A.40. The method of claim 35, wherein the biological sample is obtainedfrom a patient, and wherein measuring the fractional concentration oftumor DNA in one of the plurality of calibration samples includes:identifying one or more loci where the patient is homozygous and where asingle nucleotide mutation is present in a tumor tissue; determining afirst amount A of sequence reads having a wildtype allele at the one ormore loci in the biological sample; determining a second amount B ofsequence reads having a mutant allele at the one or more loci in thebiological sample; and calculating the fractional concentration F oftumor DNA in the calibration sample as a ratio of the first amount andthe second amount using a ratio 2B/(A+B).
 41. The method of claim 26,wherein a size of the plurality of sizes is a length, a molecular mass,or a parameter that is proportional to the length.
 42. The method ofclaim 26, wherein at least one of the plurality of sizes corresponds toa range.
 43. The method of claim 26, wherein comparing the first valueto the calibration value comprises determining if the first value isabove or below the calibration value.
 44. The method of claim 43,wherein estimating the fractional concentration comprises: determiningthat the fractional concentration of the tumor DNA in the biologicalsample is above a fractional concentration corresponding to thecalibration value when the first value is above the calibration value,or determining that the fractional concentration of the tumor DNA in thebiological sample is below the fractional concentration corresponding tothe calibration value when the first value is below the calibrationvalue.
 45. The method of claim 26, wherein comparing the first value tothe calibration value comprises inputting the first value into acalibration function.
 46. The method of claim 45, wherein the fractionalconcentration is an output value of the calibration function with thefirst value as an input.
 47. The method of claim 26, further comprising:displaying, by the computer system, the estimated fractionalconcentration of the tumor DNA.
 48. The method of claim 26, furthercomprising: comparing the fractional concentration to a threshold value,when the fractional concentration is greater than the threshold value,performing an additional test on the biological sample, and when thefractional concentration is not greater than the threshold value, notperforming the additional test on the biological sample.
 49. The methodof claim 26, further comprising: extracting plasma or serum from a bloodsample to obtain the biological sample, sequencing the DNA fragmentsfrom the biological sample to obtain sequence data of the DNA fragmentsfrom the biological sample, for each DNA fragment of the DNA fragments:aligning, by the computer system, the sequence data of the DNA fragmentto a reference human genome, and determining, by the computer system, asize of the DNA fragment from the aligned sequence data of the DNAfragment.
 50. The method of claim 26, wherein the biological sample isobtained from a patient, and further comprising: treating the tumor inthe patient from which the biological sample is obtained, and evaluatingthe success of the treatment of the patient by estimating the fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA after treatment and comparing the fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA after treatment with the fractionalconcentration of tumor DNA before treatment.
 51. A computer productcomprising a non-transitory computer readable medium storing a pluralityof instructions that when executed control a computer system to estimatea fractional concentration of tumor DNA in a biological sample, thebiological sample including the cell-free tumor DNA and other DNA, theinstructions comprising: measuring an amount of DNA fragments from thebiological sample corresponding to each of a plurality of sizes, theamount including the cell-free tumor DNA and the other DNA, therebymeasuring amounts of DNA fragments at the plurality of sizes;calculating a first value of a first parameter based on the amounts ofDNA fragments at the plurality of sizes, the first parameter providing astatistical measure of a size profile of DNA fragments in the biologicalsample; obtaining one or more first calibration data points, whereineach of the one or more first calibration data points specifies afractional concentration of tumor DNA corresponding to a calibrationvalue of the first parameter, and wherein the one or more firstcalibration data points are determined from a plurality of calibrationsamples; comparing the first value to a calibration value of at leastone calibration data point; and estimating the fractional concentrationof the tumor DNA in the biological sample based on the comparison,thereby obtaining the fractional concentration using an assay that doesnot require a tissue-specific marker.